Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 58.434442 66.581099 74.943981 84.136166 93.922974 104.000723 115.131901
2025-12-07 46.804777 58.520485 71.123775 85.547534 101.465300 118.376265 137.585466
2025-12-14 38.553096 51.990088 66.986868 84.669548 104.680954 126.390673 151.499923
2025-12-21 31.696164 46.093479 62.743917 82.921521 106.267889 132.050659 162.319086
2025-12-28 28.902162 44.569969 63.183634 86.191908 113.229276 143.452540 179.288553
2026-01-04 25.855316 42.363113 62.513625 87.905816 118.184746 152.413333 193.367165
2026-01-11 22.245919 39.056095 60.202278 87.402545 120.334480 157.989176 203.451722
2026-01-18 19.163689 36.120444 58.101504 86.938978 122.352193 163.268587 213.073222
2026-01-25 16.872754 34.028630 56.895351 87.427323 125.387073 169.638104 223.872594
2026-02-01 14.433886 31.465700 54.883493 86.748501 126.881893 174.098436 232.373117
2026-02-08 12.501652 29.440694 53.437113 86.665991 129.009268 179.233565 241.601378
2026-02-15 10.508369 27.084960 51.374570 85.655389 129.884327 182.793674 248.912447
2026-02-22 9.361390 25.995398 51.035278 86.895883 133.596869 189.817173 260.400314
2026-03-01 8.395747 25.101789 50.911204 88.381481 137.597304 197.184236 272.306118
2026-03-08 6.939626 23.132481 49.087489 87.478417 138.483562 200.704513 279.575889
2026-03-15 5.479048 20.898188 46.710364 85.699897 138.154739 202.667852 284.922628
2026-03-22 5.247565 21.083783 48.025783 89.029901 144.439925 212.781597 300.093786
2026-03-29 4.724249 20.581342 48.227193 90.774867 148.644576 220.315487 312.148594
2026-04-05 3.851307 19.152993 46.873448 90.262511 149.847901 224.093556 319.632084
2026-04-12 3.099729 17.827940 45.593923 89.790567 151.057407 227.846087 327.059874
2026-04-19 2.584600 16.963537 45.014488 90.287738 153.525645 233.156819 336.376587
2026-04-26 1.987475 15.693956 43.662240 89.596641 154.363167 236.387364 343.127283
2026-05-03 1.548134 14.721820 42.753297 89.512635 155.984906 240.586425 351.051453